Monday, July 19, 2010

Results of my Last Irish Lotto System

And it's a FAIL!

I don't even think I matched 1 single number. I am going away for 2 weeks tomorrow so I will catch up when I come back.

Saturday, July 17, 2010

My Experimental Lotto Winning System

My head hurts looking for legitimate lotto wheels that actually work, so I have decided to try out my own winning system, combining my observations from the last 117 Irish Lotto draws together with a wheeling system that I completed all by myself because I couldn't find what I was looking for online, at least not within the free wheeling systems.

I have selected 12 numbers in total, incuding 3 numbers that MUST be in all my lotto slips.

In order to have a more or less balanced selection, I chose:
  • 3 even numbers ranging from 2 to 22,
  • 3 odd numbers ranging from 1 to 21,
  • 3 even numbers ranging from 24 to 44,
  • 3 odd numbers ranging from 23 to 45.
Here is how I selected the 3 numbers that must be included:
  •  1 number must be a repeat from the last draw: I chose 42 because it had not be drawn in the previous 27 draws;
  • 1 cold number: I could have chosen 43 (only drawn 5 times), but since it came out in the last 2 draws, I selected number 1 instead (did not come out in the last 34 draws);
  • 1 hot number: I picked the number 7 (drawn 22 times, it is the hottest number at the moment).
I also decided to skip the 30-39 group, as it has not been skipped for the last 27 draws.

Here are the 12 numbers that I came up with (note the 3 highlighted red numbers that must be included):
1, 6, 7, 12, 20, 21, 23, 26, 27, 28, 42, 45.

I then made a spreadsheet including the numbers 1, 7 and 42 followed by all the possible combinations of the 9 remaining numbers, so that I have sets of 6 numbers (I found 86).

The next step is to add up the totals of all the numbers for each combination, and take out all sets that add up to less than 100 and all the sets that add up to more than 180 (I now have 80 sets of 6 numbers).

Now I want to eliminate the sets that have too many odd or too many even numbers; I will keep 2/4, 3/3 and 4/2. This leaves me with 74 combinations, which is far too many, so I need to take out more combinations.

The lowest possible combination is 1+2+3+4+5+6=21;
The highest possible combination is 45+44+43+42+41+40=255;
255+21=276;
276/2 =138------>average sum of all possible lotto combinations. I can see that the highest combination sum in my selected numbers equals 150 (which is 138+12), so I have decided to keep only the combinations that have sums ranging between 126 (138-12) and 150 (138+12).

I now have 25 combinations left, which is still too many to play with real money, but since I am still too chicken to actually buy the lotto tickets, it won't cost me anything to try them out. Since this is a 25 panel game, it would cost 25x€1.50=€37.50 to play this selection, so to make it worthwhile, a match 5 win would be nice. Now all I have to do is wait and see if I have any matching combinations (holding my breath until tonight, 8.00 pm).

Just for your information, here is my chosen selection:

Sunday, July 11, 2010

Results of 44 Number 20 Combination Wheel

I have just compared last night's Irish lotto results with the 44 number 20 combination wheel I wrote about yesterday and, even though I must admit it worked: 3 winning numbers in one line (24, 32 and 34 in the last line), it is really not worth investing the €30 required to play this system because, unfortunately, winning €5 with a €30 spend will leave you with a €25 loss (good thing I haven't actually bought the tickets).

What I am looking for is a lottery system that won't cost a fortune to use; it would be ideal if it didn't require more than the 10 panels that are on a single ticket (€15 spend). For this I would need to win at least a match 4 prize every time I play (match 4 prizes can range from about €30 to €60, but they can be less or more, depending on the prize pool and how many winners of that prize there are), or a match 5 every 10 draws (spend €150 and win something around €1000). If I can integrate what I have noticed about Irish lotto statistics (see my previous articles), all the better, so it's back to the drawing board until I can find something that is much more reliable than the last system I've tried.

Saturday, July 10, 2010

Free Lotto Winning System no. 1

I typed "Free lotto winning systems" in the Google search box and was given quite a few interesting pages to choose from. Some of the websites would make you believe they have a free winning system but they eventually lead you to a sales page, so I am trying to avoid these (I can't stand dishonesty!)

I have just found a website that has lots of lotto wheels to choose from: Lotto wheels are systems that allow you to combine several numbers so that you get more chances to win a prize (not necessarily the jackpot, but a prize is a prize!). For example, if you want to play 12 numbers there is a way to combine them in several 6 number selections: if you pick a "3 if 6", you are guaranteed to win a 3 ball prize IF (and that's a big IF, don't get fooled by the wording) 6 of your 12 numbers are drawn. Remember that there are 45 numbers to choose from in the Irish lotto, so in no way this type of wheel will guarantee a win at all, but in the event that you have selected the 6 winning numbers in your 12 chosen numbers, the wheel gives you a better chance to win than if you randomly selected 6 number combinations of the same 12 numbers.

One of those wheels in particular has attracted my attention: it is a 44 number 20 combination wheel, which would cover almost all the Irish lotto numbers (there is no 45 number 20 combination wheel on that website: if there was, that is the one I would try). This wheel does not say that it can make you win a jackpot, so please let's not rush out to the newsagent and spend €30 on lottery tickets just yet. I will try it out first without buying a ticket because this seems too good to be true, and you all know the saying: "if it's too good to be true...".



I am not very confident that the result will be positive, in fact, if I had played these numbers in the last draw, I would have had 1 ticket with 3 winning numbers, that's one €5 win (yeah!) for a €30 spend (Boohoo!). Let's see what happens anyway after tonight's Irish lotto draw.

Thursday, July 8, 2010

Irish Lotto statistics: Mathematics

I was not sure what title should I give this post, but since I have used some mathematics formulas, here we go:

I calculated the sums and averages of all 6 main Irish lotto numbers for each draw and here is what I have found for the last 115 draws:
  • The sums* of 6 main lotto numbers ranged between 69 and 210: this is a wide range, but if we take out the extreme results that occur less often, we can deduce that it is safe to only pick 6-number combinations for which the sum falls between 100 and 180, since the 69-99 range amounts for only 11% (13 out of 115 draws) and the 181-210 range amounts for only 7% of the draws (8 out of 115).
  • The average value** of 6 main lotto numbers ranged between 12 ad 35. In order to reduce the number of possible combinations, it would be safe enough (although not guaranteed a win) to take out the extreme values: 13 out of 115 average values (11%) are under 17 and 10 out of 115 average values are over 29 (9%) so it is relatively safe to pick 6 lotto numbers that average between 17 and 29.
*Where the sum is obtained by adding the total of your 6 numbers;
**Where the average is obtained by adding the total of your 6 numbers, divided by 6.

If you have some lucky numbers that you think you MUST play, by all means play them but it would be a good idea to pick your other numbers in a way that the sum of your 6 number falls between 100 and 180 and for which the average falls between 17 and 29, taking into account what I have written about in my previous posts:
Well I have had enough with the theory, so in my next posts I am going to be a little more practical and  look at some of the free lotto winning systems available on the web, and whether they work or not.

Monday, July 5, 2010

Irish Lotto Statistics: Repeats

One thing I have noticed about Irish Lotto statistics is repeated numbers.

In 68 out of 114 draws (60%), one or more of the winning numbers was also present in the previous lotto draw. This can reduce the number of possibilities when deciding which lotto numbers to pick. there were 2 instances where as many as 3 of the winning numbers were drawn twice in a row.

While I wouldn't go as far as selecting 3 numbers from the last lotto draw in any of my own lotto panels, I would try and pick just one of the previously drawn numbers; the only problem is knowing which one will decide to pop out of the doledrum.

Sunday, June 27, 2010

Irish Lotto Statistics: Skipping Groups of Ten

When you play the Irish Lotto, you must select 6 numbers ranging from 1 to 45.  Do you think it is safer to spread your chosen numbers so that they are evenly spread?

One thing that can be noticed when studying the past Irish lotto draws is that a lot of the time, one or more groups of ten does not come out. The groups I am talking about are:
  • 1 to 9;
  • 10 to 19;
  • 20 to 29;
  • 30 to 39;
  • 40 to 45.  
You can see that this amounts to 5 groups, so it would be logical to think that picking 2 numbers from one group and 1 number from every other group would give you more chances to win, but this is rarely the case: in fact, out of the last 112 lotto draws, in 98 of the draws, one or more groups of ten were skipped (that is 87.5%).

Another thing I have looked at is that since the last group (40 to 45) includes only 6 numbers, how likely is it that numbers from this group would be skipped alltogether in a draw? It turns out that 52 out of the last 112 draws did not include any of these numbers (46.43% of draws skipped the last group). When comparing all the groups of ten together, here is what I have noticed:
  • 1 to 9: 30 out of 112 draws skipped this group (26.79%);
  • 10 to 19: 24 out of 112 draws skipped this group (21.43%);
  • 20 to 29: 20 out of 112 draws skipped this group (17.86%);
  • 30 to 39: 17 out of 112 draws skipped this group (15.18%);
  • 40 to 45: 52 out of 112 draws skipped this group (46.43%).
For some reason, it looks like some groups are more popular than others; this is something to consider the next time you select your lotto numbers, don't you think?